中國(guó)石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2023年8月11日?qǐng)?bào)道，國(guó)際能源署(IEA)8月11日表示，由于沙特阿拉伯開(kāi)始單方面每天減少100萬(wàn)桶原油產(chǎn)量，7月份歐佩克+聯(lián)盟的原油日供應(yīng)量大幅下降了120萬(wàn)桶，至5070萬(wàn)桶，為近兩年來(lái)的最低水平。

歐佩克+聯(lián)盟的原油日產(chǎn)量自今年年初以來(lái)減少了200多萬(wàn)桶。與此同時(shí)，歐佩克+聯(lián)盟以外的產(chǎn)油國(guó)的原油日總產(chǎn)量增加了160萬(wàn)桶，達(dá)到5020萬(wàn)桶。IEA表示，在今年剩余時(shí)間里，非歐佩克+國(guó)家的原油產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)預(yù)計(jì)將有限。

僅歐佩克成員國(guó)7月份的原油日產(chǎn)量就下降了83.6萬(wàn)桶，至2731萬(wàn)桶，原因是沙特阿拉伯的原油日產(chǎn)量下降了96.8萬(wàn)桶，而沙特阿拉伯上個(gè)月幾乎兌現(xiàn)了100萬(wàn)桶/天的減產(chǎn)承諾。根據(jù)歐佩克最新月度報(bào)告的二手消息來(lái)源，歐佩克和歐佩克+減產(chǎn)協(xié)議的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者沙特阿拉伯的7月份原油日產(chǎn)量比6月份減少96.8萬(wàn)桶降至902.1萬(wàn)桶。由于沙特阿拉伯的減產(chǎn)，沙特阿拉伯的原油產(chǎn)量現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)低于歐佩克在歐佩克+聯(lián)盟中的主要合作的產(chǎn)量。

IEA的估計(jì)顯示，7月份全球原油日供應(yīng)量暴跌91萬(wàn)桶至1.009億桶，原因是沙特阿拉伯的減產(chǎn)抵消了非歐佩克+國(guó)家7月份原油產(chǎn)量日增31萬(wàn)桶至5020萬(wàn)桶的影響。

今年，全球原油日產(chǎn)量將增加150萬(wàn)桶，達(dá)到歷史最高的1.015億桶，其中非歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國(guó)的原油產(chǎn)量將日增190萬(wàn)桶。IEA表示，明年非歐佩克+成員國(guó)的原油供應(yīng)也將主導(dǎo)全球原油供應(yīng)增長(zhǎng)，預(yù)計(jì)將日增130萬(wàn)桶，而歐佩克+聯(lián)盟可能僅日增16萬(wàn)桶。

李峻 譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC+ Oil Supply Plunges By 1.2 Million Bpd As Saudi Arabia Cuts Output

Oil supply from the OPEC+ group dipped in July by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) to 50.7 million bpd, the lowest level in nearly two years as Saudi Arabia began its unilateral production cut of 1 million bpd, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Friday.  

The alliance’s oil production was down by more than 2 million bpd from the start of the year. Over the same period, oil producers outside the OPEC+ group increased their combined production by 1.6 million bpd to 50.2 million bpd. For the rest of the year, the non-OPEC+ production gains are expected to be limited, the IEA said.

OPEC alone saw its crude oil production from all its member states fall by 836,000 bpd to 27.31 million bpd in July, due to a 968,000 bpd decline in Saudi output as the Kingdom nearly delivered its promised 1-million-bpd cut last month. Saudi Arabia, leader of the cartel and the OPEC+ agreement, saw its crude oil production slump by 968,000 bpd from June to average 9.021 million bpd in July, per OPEC’s secondary sources in its latest monthly report. Due to Saudi Arabia’s cut, the Kingdom’s crude oil production has now fallen, the key partner of OPEC in the OPEC+ alliance.  

Global oil supply plunged by 910,000 bpd to 100.9 million bpd in July, as the Saudi cut more than offset a 310,000 bpd increase in non-OPEC+ supply to 50.2 million bpd last month, the IEA’s estimates showed.

This year, global oil output is set to rise by 1.5 million bpd to a record 101.5 million bpd, with the U.S. driving gains of 1.9 million bpd from non-OPEC+ producers. Next year, non-OPEC+ supply is also set to dominate world supply growth, and is expected to increase by 1.3 million bpd while OPEC+ could add just 160,000 bpd, the agency said.