中國(guó)石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)7月11日?qǐng)?bào)道，歐佩克秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)表示，到2045年，全球一次能源需求預(yù)計(jì)將激增23%，并補(bǔ)充道，這將需要所有資源來(lái)滿足不斷增長(zhǎng)的需求。

據(jù)路透社報(bào)道，歐佩克秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)在尼日利亞舉行的一次石油會(huì)議上表示，“據(jù)預(yù)測(cè)到2045年，全球一次能源需求將大幅增長(zhǎng)23%，這意味著我們需要各種形式的能源”。

石油將繼續(xù)在未來(lái)的能源結(jié)構(gòu)中發(fā)揮重要作用。到2045年，僅滿足石油需求就需要高達(dá)12.1萬(wàn)億美元的投資。但他補(bǔ)充道，該行業(yè)尚未走上達(dá)到這一投資水平的軌道。

上個(gè)月，他在馬來(lái)西亞的一次演講中表示，“在歐佩克的《世界石油展望》中，我們看到，到2045年，全球能源需求將增長(zhǎng)23%，我認(rèn)為，如果不利用所有可用的能源，并以能源市場(chǎng)穩(wěn)定為指導(dǎo)，就沒(méi)有可靠的方法來(lái)解決這個(gè)問(wèn)題”。

天然氣、水電、核能、氫和生物質(zhì)能需求和利用空間也將不斷擴(kuò)大，但很明顯，石油仍將是其中不可或缺的一部分。

歐佩克預(yù)測(cè)到2045年，全球石油需求將上升到1.1億桶/天，到2045年，石油仍將占能源結(jié)構(gòu)的29%。他指出，從現(xiàn)在到2045年，僅石油行業(yè)的投資每年就需要達(dá)到5000億美元，到2045年累計(jì)達(dá)到12.1萬(wàn)億美元。

他曾在6月底表示，所有行業(yè)決策者和利益相關(guān)者都需要共同努力，確保長(zhǎng)期的投資友好環(huán)境，并提供充足的資金，形成一個(gè)對(duì)生產(chǎn)者和消費(fèi)者，以及發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家和發(fā)展中國(guó)家都有效的機(jī)制。

郝芬 譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下:

OPEC Expects Global Energy Demand To Jump By 23% By 2045

Global primary energy demand is expected to surge by 23% by 2045, OPEC’s Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Tuesday, adding that all sources will be needed to meet that growing demand.

“Global primary energy demand is forecast to increase by a significant 23% in the period up to 2045, which means we will need all forms of energy,” Al Ghais said at a petroleum conference in Nigeria, as carried by Reuters.

Oil will continue to play an important role in the future of the energy mix, OPEC and its secretary general have said in recent months. Meeting oil demand alone would need as much as $12.1 trillion in investments in the industry by 2045, Al Ghais said. But the industry is not on track to reach this level of investments yet, he added.

During a speech in Malaysia last month, OPEC’s secretary general said that “In OPEC’s World Oil Outlook (WOO), we see global energy demand increasing by 23% through 2045, and I see no credible way to address this without utilizing all available energy sources, and with energy market stability as a guiding light.”  

“Gas, hydro, nuclear, hydrogen and biomass will also expand, BUT, it is clear that oil will remain an integral part of the mix,” Al Ghais added. 

OPEC’s outlook to 2045 sees global oil demand rising to 110 million barrels per day (bpd) by then, and oil would still represent about 29% of the energy mix in 2045.

Investments in the oil industry alone need to be $500 billion each year between now and 2045, for a cumulative $12.1 trillion through 2045, Al Ghais noted.

“All industry policymakers and stakeholders need to work together to ensure a long-term investment-friendly climate, with sufficient finance available. One that works for producers and consumers, as well as developed and developing countries,” Al Ghais said at the end of June.