中國石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)鉆井地帶網(wǎng)站2023年6月30日報道，去年歐佩克成員國的原油凈出口總收入達到8880億美元。

這是EIA在其最新的歐佩克收入情況介紹中估計的，該報告于6月更新。

在情況介紹中，EIA指出，歐佩克成員國去年的原油凈出口收入與前一年相比增加了近43%，“當時歐佩克成員國原油凈石油出口總收入估計為6220億美元”。

EIA在情況介紹中表示：“去年該組織成員國原油凈出口總收入的增加主要歸因于原油價格上漲，在較小程度上歸因于石油液體產(chǎn)量的增加?！?/p>

EIA在情況介紹中概述稱歐佩克去年原油日總產(chǎn)量增加到近3420萬桶，同比日增250萬桶。

根據(jù)情況介紹，去年沙特阿拉伯的原油凈出口收入為3110億美元，是歐佩克成員國中最高的。伊拉克以1310億美元排名第二，阿聯(lián)酋以1190億美元排名第三，科威特以980億美元排名第四。

EIA的情況介紹強調(diào)，沙特阿拉伯在2021年的原油凈出口收入也最高，達到2060億美元，伊拉克以920億美元排名第二，阿聯(lián)酋以820億美元排名第三，科威特以680億美元排名第四，伊朗以400億美元排名第五。

展望2023年，情況介紹預(yù)計歐佩克成員國原油凈出口收入將降至6560億美元。

EIA在情況介紹中表示：“這一下降是由于歐佩克+減產(chǎn)協(xié)議延長導(dǎo)致歐佩克原油產(chǎn)量下降，以及原油價格下跌。”

EIA補充稱：“我們預(yù)計，今年歐佩克的液體石油日總產(chǎn)量將降至3350萬桶，而布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格將從去年的每桶101美元降至每桶80美元?！?/p>

EIA預(yù)計，歐佩克成員國明年原油凈出口總收入將繼續(xù)增加。

EIA在情況介紹中表示：“根據(jù)今年6月發(fā)布的《短期能源展望》（STEO）報告，預(yù)計今年歐佩克的原油產(chǎn)量將增加，預(yù)計歐佩克原油凈出口總收入將增至6820億美元?！?/p>

EIA補充說：“我們預(yù)測明年全球原油價格將上漲，反映出全球原油庫存將在未來5個季度中的每個季度下降?！?/p>

根據(jù)情況概述，2023年和2024年，原油凈出口收入排名前5位的歐佩克成員國將保持與2022年和2021年相同，盡管確切數(shù)字將發(fā)生變化。

情況介紹認為今明兩年沙特阿拉伯的原油凈出口收入將在2150億美元和2230億美元，伊拉克的原油凈出口收入將在960億美元和1030億美元，阿聯(lián)酋的原油凈出口收入將在910億美元和920億美元，科威特的原油凈出口收入將在740億美元和770億美元。

在6月份發(fā)布的最新STEO報告中，EIA預(yù)計今年歐佩克成員國的原油和其他液體日產(chǎn)量將達到3351萬桶，在2024年將達到3384萬桶。報告顯示，去年歐佩克成員國的原油和其他液體日產(chǎn)量為3417萬桶。

根據(jù)EIA最新STEO報告預(yù)測，今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格將為每桶79.54美元，2024年將為每桶83.51美元，今年WTI現(xiàn)貨平均價格將為每桶74.60美元，2024年將為每桶78.51美元。EIA最新的STEO報告強調(diào)，去年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格為每桶100.94美元，WTI現(xiàn)貨平均價格為每桶94.91美元。

在5月份發(fā)布的上一份STEO報告中，EIA預(yù)測今年歐佩克的原油和其他液體日產(chǎn)量將達到3376萬桶，2024年將達到3445萬桶。在該STEO報告中，EIA預(yù)測今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格將為每桶78.65美元，2024年將為每桶74.47美元；今年WTI現(xiàn)貨平均價格將為每桶73.62美元，明年將為每桶69.47美元。

李峻 譯自 鉆井地帶 網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

What Was OPEC's Net Oil Export Revenue in 2022?

OPEC members earned about $888 billion in net oil export revenue last year.

That’s what the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates in its latest OPEC Revenues Fact Sheet, which was last updated this month.

In the fact sheet, the EIA noted that OPEC’s 2022 net revenue rose nearly 43 percent compared with the previous year, “when OPEC net oil export revenue totaled an estimated $622 billion (real $)”.

“The increase in net export revenue in 2022 is mostly attributable to higher crude oil prices, and to a lesser degree to higher petroleum liquids production,” the EIA said in the fact sheet.

OPEC total oil output rose to nearly 34.2 million barrels per day in 2022 and increased by 2.5 million barrels per day year on year, the EIA outlined in the fact sheet.

According to the sheet, Saudi Arabia had the highest net oil export revenue among OPEC members last year at $311 billion. The fact sheet placed Iraq in second, with $131 billion, the United Arab Emirates in third, with $119 billion, Kuwait in fourth, with $98 billion, and Iran in fifth, with $54 billion.

The EIA fact sheet highlighted that Saudi Arabia also had the highest net oil export revenue in 2021 at $206 billion. Iraq was second, with $92 billion, the UAE was third, with $82 billion, Kuwait was fourth, with $68 billion, and Iran was fifth, with $40 billion, in 2021, the fact sheet outlined.

Looking at 2023, the fact sheet projected that OPEC net oil export revenue will fall to $656 billion.

“This decrease is attributable to lower OPEC production as a result of the extension of the OPEC+ agreement, along with a decrease in crude oil prices,” the EIA stated in the fact sheet.  

“We expect OPEC total oil liquids production to decrease to 33.5 million barrels per day in 2023, while the forecast Brent spot price will fall from $101 per barrel in 2022 to $80 per barrel,” the EIA added.

The organization projected that OPEC net oil export revenue will go on to increase in 2024.

“In tandem with a forecast increase in OPEC output in 2024, based on the June 2023 STEO, we expect that OPEC net export revenue will rise to $682 billion (real $),” the EIA stated in the sheet.

“We forecast that global crude oil prices will increase in 2024, reflecting global oil inventories that will decrease in each of the next five quarters,” the EIA added.

According to the fact sheet, the top five OPEC countries in terms of net oil export revenue will remain the same as 2022 and 2021 in both 2023 and 2024, although the exact figures will alter.

The fact sheet sees Saudi Arabia’s net oil export revenue coming in at $215 billion in 2023 and $223 billion in 2024, Iraq’s net oil export revenue at $96 billion in 2023 and $103 billion in 2024, the UAE’s net oil export revenue at $91 billion in 2023 and $92 billion in 2024, Kuwait’s net oil export revenue at $74 billion in 2023 and $77 billion in 2024, and Iran’s net oil export revenue at $44 billion this year and $48 billion next year.

In its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released in June, the EIA projects that OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids will be 33.51 million barrels per day in 2023 and 33.84 million barrels per day in 2024. OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids was 34.17 million barrels per day in 2022, the report revealed.

The EIA’s latest STEO sees the Brent spot price averaging $79.54 per barrel this year and $83.51 per barrel in 2024 and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot price averaging $74.60 per barrel in 2023 and $78.51 per barrel in 2024. The Brent spot price averaged $100.94 per barrel and the WTI spot price averaged $94.91 per barrel las year, the EIA’s latest STEO highlighted.

In its previous STEO, which was released in May, the EIA projected that OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids would be 33.76 million barrels per day in 2023 and 34.45 million barrels per day in 2024. In that STEO, the EIA projected that the Brent spot price would average $78.65 per barrel in 2023 and $74.47 per barrel in 2024 and that the WTI spot price would average $73.62 per barrel this year and $69.47 per barrel next year.